Establishment of Early Multi-Indicator Prediction Models of Moderately Severe Acute Pancreatitis and Severe Acute Pancreatitis

Table 5

Comparison of the area under the ROC curve of the unweighted prediction model, the weighted prediction model, and the severity score in predicting MSAP and SAP.

	AUC
		wScore	APACHE II score	BISAP score	MCTSI score	Ranson score
unwScore	0.854	0.2165	<0.0001	0.0005	0.1635	<0.0001
wScore	0.837		<0.0001	0.0060	0.5680	<0.0001
APACHE II score	0.526			<0.0001	<0.0001	<0.0001
BISAP score	0.766				0.0110	0.0028
MCTSI score	0.823					<0.0001
Ranson score	0.693

Note: MSAP: moderately severe acute pancreatitis; SAP: severe acute pancreatitis; AUC: area under the ROC curve; unwScore: unweighted predictive score; wScore: weighted predictive score; APACHE II: acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II; BISAP: bedside index for severity in acute pancreatitis; MCTSI: modified computed tomography severity index.