Research Article

Tree Mortality following Prescribed Fire and a Storm Surge Event in Slash Pine (Pinus elliottii var. densa) Forests in the Florida Keys, USA

Table 4

1- and 7-year post-fire tree mortality models for slash pine after prescribed burns carried out between 1998 and 2001 in Big Pine Key, Florida.

Models VariablesCoefficientsH-L ( )PC
ß1ß2ß3

1-year post fire
13523DBHCHCVS 0.53790.0546292.2.0010.911
(0.4041)(0.0133)(0.0407)(0.0041)
23530DBHCH 0.9168157.6.0010.845
(0.1212)(0.0129)(0.0396)
33550CVS 0.0720444.8.0010.888
(0.4162)(0.0044)
7-year post fire
42227DBHCHCVS 0.39740.017136.1.0010.768
(0.1890)(0.0117)(0.0363)(0.0018)

: number of trees observed.
Standard error of constant and independent variable coefficients are given in the parenthesis with each coefficient value.
DBH: Diameter at breast height (cm); CH: Char height (m); CVS: Percent crown scorch (%).
H-L ( ): Hosmer and Lemeshow chi-square statistic for assessing goodness of fit.
P: Statistical significance of Hosmer and Lemeshow ( ) test statistic.
: Concordance value which is equivalent to area under the curve in the receiver operations characteristic (ROC) curve analysis for assessing the performance of the model.