Uncertainty Analysis of Energy Production for a 3 × 50 MW AC Photovoltaic Project Based on Solar Resources

Table 12

Performance ratio and net energy output (MWh/year) for one-year periods.

Year	PR (%)	P25	P50	P75	P90	P99
1	77.6	122750	115383	108006	101365	90064
2	77.2	121870	114549	107225	100632	89414
3	76.80	121099	113715	106444	99899	88764
4	76.20	120102	112881	105663	99166	88114
5	75.90	119214	112047	104882	98433	87464
6	75.50	118326	111213	104101	97700	86683
7	75.10	117438	110379	103320	96967	86033
8	74.50	16550	109545	102539	96234	85383
9	73.90	15663	108711	10 1759	95502	84733
10	73.40	14775	107877	10 0978	94769	84083
11	72.80	13888	107042	100197	94036	83433
12	72.20	13000	106208	99416	93,303	82782
13	71.70	12113	105374	98636	92571	82132
14	71.10	11225	104540	97855	91838	81482
15	70.50	10338	103706	97074	91105	80832
16	70.00	9451	102872	96293	90372	80182
17	69.40	8563	102038	95513	89640	79532
18	68.80	7676	101204	94732	88907	78882
19	68.30	6788	100370	93951	88174	78232
20	67.70	5901	99536	93170	87441	77581
21	67.10	5013	98701	92390	86709	76931
22	66.60	4126	97867	91609	85976	76281
23	66.00	3239	97033	90828	85243	75631
24	65.40	2351	96199	90047	84510	74981
25	64.90	1464	95365	89267	83778	74331
Total	71.54	40116.9	105374.2	94341.5	92570.8	82158.4