A Solution to Prevent a Blackout Crisis: Determining the Behavioral Potential and Capacity of Solar Power

Table 14

Comparison of different scenarios (night).

Scenarios	Deterministic			Stochastic			Maximum of behavioral flexibility (MW)	Behavioral flexibility compared to base scenario (MW)
	Maximum difference with the base scenario (MW)	Decrease or increase compared to the base scenario in maximum load (%)	Maximum load (MW)	Maximum difference with the base scenario (MW)	Decrease or increase compared to the base scenario in maximum load (%)	Maximum load (GW)
—	57.86	—	—	0.934	—	—	0.932	Base scenario
-3.26	54.6	-53.44	-5.78	0.880	-53.44	-5.68	0.879	Ideal scenario
1.58	59.44	25.85	2.78	0.960	25.85	2.78	0.958	Cold room scenario
7.62	65.48	122.95	13.16	1.057	122.93	7.83	1.055	Refrigerator scenario
-12.77	45.09	-206.15	-22.05	0.728	-206.12	-22.10	0.726	Technology upgrade scenario (basic mode and technology upgrade)
-15.33	42.53	-248.33	-26.65	0.685	-248.30	-26.60	0.684	Combined scenario (ideal temperature and technology upgrade)
-11.58	46.28	-186.57	-20.02	0.747	-186.55	-20.06	0.745	Combined scenario (cold room and technology upgrade)
-6.87	50.99	-110.96	-11.88	0.823	-110.94	-11.80	0.822	Combined scenario (refrigerator and technology upgrade)