Research Article

Cost-Effectiveness Evaluation of Etoricoxib versus Celecoxib and Nonselective NSAIDs in the Treatment of Ankylosing Spondylitis in Norway

Table 4

Estimated effects and costs by treatment (base-case scenario).

Etoricoxib (90 mg)Celecoxib (200 & 400 mg)Diclofenac (150 mg)Naproxen (1000 mg)
Estimate95% CrI Estimate95% CrIEstimate95% CrI Estimate95% CrI

Life years
1 yrs111111111111
5 yrs4.594.594.604.594.594.604.594.594.594.594.594.60
30 yrs16.7216.6916.7616.7616.7316.7916.7316.6916.7616.7616.7116.80
QALYs
1 yrs0.740.660.800.670.590.750.690.610.760.700.620.77
5 yrs3.343.023.643.142.783.483.172.823.503.222.883.54
30 yrs11.169.8512.4210.669.2412.0410.719.3012.0810.809.4112.15

(best)298.90%at 1 year0.00%at 1 year0.13%at 1 year0.98%at 1 year
98.94%at 5 years0.00%at 5 years0.11%at 5 years0.95%at 5 years
99.96%at 30 years0.00%at 30 years0.00%at 30 years0.04%at 30 years

Treatment cost (NOK)
1 yrs4,6544,6544,6544,9774,9774,9771,5881,5881,5881,3801,3801,380
5 yrs50,02041,40062,06074,94062,79089,16060,25044,38080,18059,03043,10079,000
30 yrs628,200463,300823,600740,500544,400971,100710,400517,500937,800708,900516,200936,000

GI event costs (NOK)
1 yrs1096915812465214236144341236144341
5 yrs5543607846483919779395761,3569435791,361
30 yrs1,1597431,6441,0696541,5791,4538732,1481,4698812,173

Thrombotic CV event costs (NOK)
1 yrs1,1481,0271,2781,1481,0271,2781,2081,0821,3457143601,271
5 yrs5,0654,6175,5424,8714,4765,2895,0814,5355,6723,6542,5905,309
30 yrs10,0608,45211,6507,6966,7128,7568,2936,8529,9206,5414,8888,833

Other AE costs (NOK)
1 yrs2021462682021462681207717112077171
5 yrs8146121,048723555918502323718504324720
30 yrs1,5071,0981,9911,0487951,3428205131,2018285171,214

Total costs (NOK)
1 yrs6,1155,9746,2676,4526,3006,6183,1522,9813,3322,4492,0733,015
5 yrs56,45047,92068,45081,19069,12095,23066,78051,01086,44064,13048,12084,220
30 yrs640,900476,900835,600750,300554,500980,800721,000528,800947,700717,800526,000944,700

(best)20.00%at 1 year0.00%at 1 year1.15%at 1 year98.85%at 1 year
85.26%at 5 years0.00%at 5 years0.18%at 5 years14.57%at 5 years
98.92%at 30 years0.01%at 30 years0.03%at 30 years1.04%at 30 years

1All results are discounted, 4.0% for effects and costs.
2Probability that a certain intervention provides best outcomes (i.e., greatest QALYs, lowest costs).