Effects of Climate Change on Ticks and Tick-Borne Diseases in Europe

Figure 5

Predicted geographic impact (habitat suitability turnover) of different climate change scenarios. The maps shows the forecasted changes in habitat suitability for different tick species, with changes in temperature (left column) or rainfall (right column) analyzed by consensus analysis (a statistical method of classification using multiple input variables) to show the most coherent response to a range of changes in predictor variables. Dark shades of grey indicate increased climate suitability following a decrease in the predictor variable scenario (temperature or rainfall). Light shades of grey indicate increased climate suitability following an increase in the predictor variable. A and B: B. annulatus; C and D: D. marginatus; E and F: H. excavatum; G and H: H. marginatum; I and J: R. bursa; K and L: R. turanicus. (Estrada-Peña and Venzal 2007 [52], with permission from Journal of Medical Entomology).