Research Article
Uncertainty Analysis of Multiple Hydrologic Models Using the Bayesian Model Averaging Method
Table 3
The comparison of BMA
and BMA
in the mean prediction and 90% uncertainty interval for the whole flow series.
| | Indices | Calibration | Validation | | BMA | BMA | BMA | BMA |
| | Mean Prediction | | | | | | (%) | 90.68 | 90.49 | 86.98 | 84.54 | | DRMS (m3/s) | 27.92 | 28.22 | 27.95 | 30.46 | | RE (%) | 27.87 | 21.40 | 30.72 | 25.42 |
| | 90% uncertainty interval | | | | | | CR (%) | 40.72 | 91.11 | 40.65 | 90.23 | | (m3/s) | 43.76 | 70.98 | 36.71 | 55.91 | | (m3/s) | 16.06 | 14.54 | 14.13 | 13.20 |
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