Research Article

Contagious Criminal Career Models Showing Backward Bifurcations: Implications for Crime Control Policies

Table 2

Models parameters and their biological meaning.

Parameters Description

Rate of recruitment of individuals into the core group
Basic flow to the criminality () (criminal propensity)
Rate of cooptation of first-time ex-offenders (contact rate between and )
Rate of cooptation of second-time ex-offenders (contact rate between and )
Rate of early desistance from crime
Rate of desistance from crime when in the first cycle
Rate of desistance from crime when in at least the second cycle
Natural inmate mortality rate
Additional inmate mortality rate when in
Additional inmate mortality rate when in
Release rate from incarceration of first-time offenders
Release rate from incarceration of at least second-time offenders