Mathematical Modelling and Analysis of Transmission Dynamics of Lassa Fever

<table class="table-group" id="tab3"><tr><td><table class="table"><tr><td class="thead-hr" colspan="2"><hr/></td></tr><tr class="thead"><td class="align_left">Parameter</td><td class="align_center">Elasticity</td></tr><tr><td class="thead-hr" colspan="2"><hr/></td></tr><tr><td class="align_left"><span style="width: 19.1778ptpx;"><svg height="11.8174pt" id="M423" style="vertical-align:-3.1815pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -8.6359 19.1778 11.8174" width="19.1778pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M671 0V28C608 36 593 47 562 130C495 309 432 486 368 665L336 656C270 481 202 311 134 139C98 47 84 39 20 28V0H241V28C167 38 156 47 178 115C217 236 276 383 327 530H329C375 398 437 223 484 92C499 47 489 37 424 28V0H671Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,10.803,3.132)"><path d="M870 650H600L593 618C681 609 684 605 669 516L641 367H261L286 516C302 603 313 610 391 618L398 650H132L123 618C214 610 218 606 200 516L127 130C113 46 107 40 25 32L18 0H290L298 32C204 40 200 42 214 130L250 321H631L596 131C580 47 573 39 484 32L475 0H753L762 32C673 39 668 46 685 130L757 516C772 606 778 610 861 618L870 650Z"></path></g></svg></span></td><td class="align_center">+1</td></tr><tr><td class="align_left"><span style="width: 15.8896ptpx;"><svg height="11.927pt" id="M424" style="vertical-align:-3.291101pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -8.6359 15.8896 11.927" width="15.8896pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M671 0V28C608 36 593 47 562 130C495 309 432 486 368 665L336 656C270 481 202 311 134 139C98 47 84 39 20 28V0H241V28C167 38 156 47 178 115C217 236 276 383 327 530H329C375 398 437 223 484 92C499 47 489 37 424 28V0H671Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,10.803,3.132)"><path d="M245 635C92 635 37 457 37 312C37 149 91 -12 244 -12C395 -12 449 166 449 312C449 469 395 635 245 635ZM243 598C332 598 358 454 358 312C358 173 334 26 245 26C158 26 128 174 128 313S152 598 243 598Z"></path></g></svg></span></td><td class="align_center">−1</td></tr><tr><td class="align_left"><span style="width: 15.8896ptpx;"><svg height="11.8174pt" id="M425" style="vertical-align:-3.1815pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -8.6359 15.8896 11.8174" width="15.8896pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M671 0V28C608 36 593 47 562 130C495 309 432 486 368 665L336 656C270 481 202 311 134 139C98 47 84 39 20 28V0H241V28C167 38 156 47 178 115C217 236 276 383 327 530H329C375 398 437 223 484 92C499 47 489 37 424 28V0H671Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,10.803,3.132)"><path d="M389 0V32C297 38 291 46 291 118V635C234 613 175 595 109 583V556L161 554C203 552 207 547 207 497V118C207 46 201 38 110 32V0H389Z"></path></g></svg></span></td><td class="align_center">−0.4937</td></tr><tr><td class="align_left"><i>ϕ</i></td><td class="align_center">0.0193</td></tr><tr><td class="align_left"><span style="width: 12.3012ptpx;"><svg height="12.7178pt" id="M426" style="vertical-align:-3.42947pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.28833 12.3012 12.7178" width="12.3012pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M558 587C558 666 497 712 432 712C379 712 330 691 284 650C212 586 178 508 148 348L71 -65C49 -185 35 -229 23 -235L27 -261C49 -259 101 -251 124 -224C131 -216 138 -178 159 -24C171 66 197 200 227 356C264 550 295 668 393 668C443 668 479 632 479 575C479 516 446 458 383 418C361 404 344 398 318 397L296 350C395 338 460 281 460 192C460 110 411 40 300 40C258 40 215 55 192 69L181 51C191 18 222 -16 266 -16C308 -16 351 1 397 26C471 67 545 142 545 221C545 315 486 365 401 395C469 437 558 498 558 587Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,7.228,3.132)"><path d="M290 377C321 398 342 415 358 430C378 450 389 473 389 502C389 578 329 635 238 635H237C184 635 137 610 109 578L64 515L88 493C112 529 154 573 208 573S303 542 303 482C303 409 233 370 141 341L149 308C165 313 190 319 215 319C272 319 341 283 341 193C342 98 292 43 222 43C163 43 122 72 96 94C88 101 79 100 70 94C61 87 47 73 46 60C44 47 48 37 62 23C76 10 118 -12 165 -12C238 -12 430 62 430 223C430 297 379 359 290 375V377Z"></path></g></svg></span></td><td class="align_center">−0.988</td></tr><tr><td class="align_left"><span style="width: 13.6621ptpx;"><svg height="12.7178pt" id="M427" style="vertical-align:-3.42947pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.28833 13.6621 12.7178" width="13.6621pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M558 587C558 666 497 712 432 712C379 712 330 691 284 650C212 586 178 508 148 348L71 -65C49 -185 35 -229 23 -235L27 -261C49 -259 101 -251 124 -224C131 -216 138 -178 159 -24C171 66 197 200 227 356C264 550 295 668 393 668C443 668 479 632 479 575C479 516 446 458 383 418C361 404 344 398 318 397L296 350C395 338 460 281 460 192C460 110 411 40 300 40C258 40 215 55 192 69L181 51C191 18 222 -16 266 -16C308 -16 351 1 397 26C471 67 545 142 545 221C545 315 486 365 401 395C469 437 558 498 558 587Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,7.228,3.132)"><path d="M636 22C611 29 589 38 560 74C536 104 518 134 495 173L430 300C518 328 592 392 592 492C592 555 563 594 528 618C491 643 435 650 377 650H140L131 618C222 610 223 601 208 518L137 136C121 43 116 40 27 32L18 0H295L300 32C212 40 206 42 223 138L248 279H296C334 279 350 272 369 230C393 174 413 140 441 94C482 24 523 1 626 -8L636 22ZM497 480C497 422 468 374 417 343C387 324 353 315 304 315H255L298 556C303 583 309 598 319 603C331 610 348 613 367 613C448 613 497 573 497 480Z"></path></g></svg></span></td><td class="align_center">−0.0000000065347</td></tr><tr><td class="align_left"><i>σ</i></td><td class="align_center">−0.91700443</td></tr><tr><td class="align_left"><span style="width: 10.7353ptpx;"><svg height="9.39034pt" id="M428" style="vertical-align:-3.42943pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -5.96091 10.7353 9.39034" width="10.7353pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M478 372C478 418 458 448 431 448C409 448 389 431 389 410C389 404 391 400 394 395C398 388 406 371 406 348C406 253 308 122 251 51H249C254 122 249 257 231 336C212 421 189 448 159 448C126 448 75 412 23 327L48 306C83 354 103 371 115 371C125 371 134 360 144 334C185 224 192 64 183 -19C146 -100 116 -202 110 -244L125 -261C154 -259 208 -234 222 -220C222 -194 225 -84 235 -23C247 -3 273 36 308 79C379 165 478 288 478 372Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,5.668,3.132)"><path d="M389 0V32C297 38 291 46 291 118V635C234 613 175 595 109 583V556L161 554C203 552 207 547 207 497V118C207 46 201 38 110 32V0H389Z"></path></g></svg></span></td><td class="align_center">−0.78814</td></tr><tr><td class="align_left"><span style="width: 10.7353ptpx;"><svg height="9.39034pt" id="M429" style="vertical-align:-3.42943pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -5.96091 10.7353 9.39034" width="10.7353pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M478 372C478 418 458 448 431 448C409 448 389 431 389 410C389 404 391 400 394 395C398 388 406 371 406 348C406 253 308 122 251 51H249C254 122 249 257 231 336C212 421 189 448 159 448C126 448 75 412 23 327L48 306C83 354 103 371 115 371C125 371 134 360 144 334C185 224 192 64 183 -19C146 -100 116 -202 110 -244L125 -261C154 -259 208 -234 222 -220C222 -194 225 -84 235 -23C247 -3 273 36 308 79C379 165 478 288 478 372Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,5.668,3.132)"><path d="M414 144C384 79 371 75 317 75H135L276 221C367 316 408 376 408 465C408 570 327 635 237 635C179 635 131 609 100 575L42 494L67 471C94 510 138 565 205 565C277 565 321 517 321 435C321 348 258 270 195 195C146 137 88 81 33 26V0H411C423 44 433 88 446 135L414 144Z"></path></g></svg></span></td><td class="align_center">−0.88662</td></tr><tr><td class="align_left"><span style="width: 15.2502ptpx;"><svg height="9.39034pt" id="M430" style="vertical-align:-3.42943pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -5.96091 15.2502 9.39034" width="15.2502pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M538 96L524 119C492 88 454 63 446 63C439 63 434 70 440 101C463 223 491 341 518 448H508L433 422L401 276C355 192 240 56 188 56C163 56 154 89 163 133C184 233 207 338 235 443L230 448L152 424L58 17C40 -60 23 -143 23 -185C23 -241 42 -261 63 -261C92 -261 117 -241 125 -227L124 -221C109 -209 89 -165 89 -103C89 -55 96 -13 105 26H107C121 -3 134 -12 151 -12C172 -12 194 -5 221 16C279 61 330 124 384 194H386C381 159 377 141 368 105C343 3 363 -12 383 -12C416 -12 486 35 538 96Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,6.89,3.132)"><path d="M870 650H600L593 618C681 609 684 605 669 516L641 367H261L286 516C302 603 313 610 391 618L398 650H132L123 618C214 610 218 606 200 516L127 130C113 46 107 40 25 32L18 0H290L298 32C204 40 200 42 214 130L250 321H631L596 131C580 47 573 39 484 32L475 0H753L762 32C673 39 668 46 685 130L757 516C772 606 778 610 861 618L870 650Z"></path></g></svg></span></td><td class="align_center">−0.2417115</td></tr><tr><td class="align_left"><span style="width: 13.3229ptpx;"><svg height="9.39034pt" id="M431" style="vertical-align:-3.42943pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -5.96091 13.3229 9.39034" width="13.3229pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M538 96L524 119C492 88 454 63 446 63C439 63 434 70 440 101C463 223 491 341 518 448H508L433 422L401 276C355 192 240 56 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14.5064ptpx;"><svg height="12.4698pt" id="M432" style="vertical-align:-3.18147pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.28833 14.5064 12.4698" width="14.5064pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M475 507C475 612 440 712 326 712C139 712 23 420 23 215C23 96 58 -12 180 -12C369 -12 475 293 475 507ZM391 522C391 486 387 448 379 394H126C155 538 222 677 310 677C386 677 391 571 391 522ZM373 346C344 193 283 22 189 22C126 22 106 114 106 196C106 243 111 293 118 346H373Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,6.149,3.132)"><path d="M870 650H600L593 618C681 609 684 605 669 516L641 367H261L286 516C302 603 313 610 391 618L398 650H132L123 618C214 610 218 606 200 516L127 130C113 46 107 40 25 32L18 0H290L298 32C204 40 200 42 214 130L250 321H631L596 131C580 47 573 39 484 32L475 0H753L762 32C673 39 668 46 685 130L757 516C772 606 778 610 861 618L870 650Z"></path></g></svg></span></td><td class="align_center">+1</td></tr><tr><td class="align_left"><span style="width: 13.045ptpx;"><svg height="9.14241pt" id="M433" style="vertical-align:-3.1815pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -5.96091 13.045 9.14241" width="13.045pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M615 290C615 392 563 448 529 448C511 448 491 441 484 434L483 425C518 400 546 349 546 273C546 158 504 46 417 46C381 46 356 77 356 142C356 184 380 293 392 334L387 340L307 323C305 288 296 228 287 188C265 94 221 52 180 52C144 52 112 89 112 171C112 278 164 372 241 430L226 454C106 394 23 288 23 155C23 40 79 -12 139 -12C184 -12 245 32 285 85C292 31 322 -12 376 -12C423 -12 470 18 501 45C570 104 615 184 615 290Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,7.969,3.132)"><path d="M389 0V32C297 38 291 46 291 118V635C234 613 175 595 109 583V556L161 554C203 552 207 547 207 497V118C207 46 201 38 110 32V0H389Z"></path></g></svg></span></td><td class="align_center">−0.1364</td></tr><tr><td class="align_left"><span style="width: 13.045ptpx;"><svg height="9.14241pt" id="M434" style="vertical-align:-3.1815pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -5.96091 13.045 9.14241" width="13.045pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M615 290C615 392 563 448 529 448C511 448 491 441 484 434L483 425C518 400 546 349 546 273C546 158 504 46 417 46C381 46 356 77 356 142C356 184 380 293 392 334L387 340L307 323C305 288 296 228 287 188C265 94 221 52 180 52C144 52 112 89 112 171C112 278 164 372 241 430L226 454C106 394 23 288 23 155C23 40 79 -12 139 -12C184 -12 245 32 285 85C292 31 322 -12 376 -12C423 -12 470 18 501 45C570 104 615 184 615 290Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,7.969,3.132)"><path d="M414 144C384 79 371 75 317 75H135L276 221C367 316 408 376 408 465C408 570 327 635 237 635C179 635 131 609 100 575L42 494L67 471C94 510 138 565 205 565C277 565 321 517 321 435C321 348 258 270 195 195C146 137 88 81 33 26V0H411C423 44 433 88 446 135L414 144Z"></path></g></svg></span></td><td class="align_center">−0.0301115</td></tr><tr><td class="align_left"><i>M</i></td><td class="align_center">−0.000001292</td></tr><tr><td class="align_left"><i>υ</i></td><td class="align_center">−0.00000000065976</td></tr><tr class="table-tr"><td colspan="2"><hr class="tbody-hr"/></td></tr></table></td></tr></table>

<div>Elasticities of <span class="nowrap"><svg height="13.9365pt" id="M422" style="vertical-align:-3.834pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -10.1025 13.071 13.9365" width="13.071pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M405 650H141L135 622C222 616 230 610 215 535L133 116C118 41 113 33 29 28L23 0H289L295 28C209 33 205 40 219 116L298 535C312 609 317 616 399 622L405 650Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,5.567,-5.741)"><path d="M486 158C486 177 478 202 466 220C413 228 386 236 336 262C386 288 413 297 466 304C478 323 486 347 485 366C470 376 444 381 422 380C389 338 368 319 321 288C323 345 329 372 349 422C339 442 322 461 305 470C289 461 271 442 262 422C281 372 287 345 290 288C243 319 222 338 189 380C167 381 142 376 125 366C125 347 133 322 145 304C198 296 225 288 275 262C225 236 198 227 145 220C133 201 125 177 126 158C141 148 167 143 189 144C222 186 243 205 290 236C288 179 282 152 262 102C272 82 289 63 306 54C322 63 340 82 350 102C330 152 324 179 321 236C368 205 390 186 422 144C444 143 470 148 486 158Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,4.719,3.784)"><path d="M870 650H600L593 618C681 609 684 605 669 516L641 367H261L286 516C302 603 313 610 391 618L398 650H132L123 618C214 610 218 606 200 516L127 130C113 46 107 40 25 32L18 0H290L298 32C204 40 200 42 214 130L250 321H631L596 131C580 47 573 39 484 32L475 0H753L762 32C673 39 668 46 685 130L757 516C772 606 778 610 861 618L870 650Z"></path></g></svg>.</span></div>

Journal of Applied Mathematics

tab3

Table 3

Table 3: Mathematical Modelling and Analysis of Transmission Dynamics of Lassa Fever 