Mathematical Model to Estimate and Predict the COVID-19 Infections in Morocco: Optimal Control Strategy

Table 1

Parameter descriptions and values; the initial data are corresponding to the 19 March 2020 for Morocco [20].

Parameter	Description	Estimated values for Morocco
	The infection rate	0.309038973249694
	The reduced chances of a partially controlled individual to be infected	0.790453244925308
	The recruitment rate of susceptibles to the partially controlled class	0.198352095739391
	The recruitment rate of susceptibles to the totally controlled class	0.0609987020406361
	Death due to the infection	0.010653085736073
	Treatment rate	0.00853317853991
	Recovery rate	0.00112696312179574
	Immunity loss rate
	The inhibition effect due to resource limitation to awareness controls
	The effect of the lockdown	0.0372352811096721
	Initial susceptible population	34500000
	Initial partially controlled population	0
	Initial totally controlled population	0
	Initial infected population	63
	Initial removed population	2
0	Initial dead population	2