Compression of Morbidity 1980–2011: A Focused Review of Paradigms and Progress
Table 2
US expected age at death projected from life expectancy data 1900–2007. Projecting future mortality ages: US, all races, both sexes, data 1900–2007 and 1980–2007.
From birth
From age 65
Ages at death
(1900)
49.2
76.9
(1980)
73.7
81.4
(2007)
77.9
83.6
Increase
(Years: 1900–2007)
28.7
6.7
(Years: 1980–2007)
4.2
2.2
Increase/year
(107 years: 1900–2007)
0.268
0.063
(27 years: 1980–2007)
0.156
0.081
Point (Year) of Paradox (where ages of death from birth and from age 65 would be the same) ( = Years to Paradox)
(Projecting from 1900–2007 data—107 years)
85.4
85.4
(2035)
77.9 + 0.268() = 83.6 + 0.063(), = 2007 + (28 years to Paradox [])
