Which Part of a Short, Global Risk Assessment, the Risk Instrument for Screening in the Community, Predicts Adverse Healthcare Outcomes?
Table 1
Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve area under the curve scores and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the global risk score and components of the Risk Instrument for Screening in the Community (RISC) scores including mental state, activities of daily living (ADL), and medical state domains, the primary caregiver, and primary cohabitant (who the patient is living with), for predicting one-year risk of institutionalisation, hospitalisation, and death.
Variable
Actual outcomes
Institutionalization
Hospitalization
Death
RISC global risk score (CI)
0.70 (0.62–0.76)***
0.61 (0.55–0.66)***
0.70 (0.64–0.75)***
Mental state
Mental state concern
0.62 (0.55–0.69)***
0.52 (0.47–0.58)
0.56 (0.50–0.61)*
Mental state severity of concern
0.64 (0.57–0.71)***
0.53 (0.47–0.58)
0.56 (0.51–0.62)*
Mental state caregiver network
0.64 (0.57–0.71)***
0.53 (0.47–0.58)
0.56 (0.50–0.61)
ADLs
ADLs concern
0.60 (0.54–0.66)**
0.55 (0.50–0.60)
0.56 (0.50–0.61)*
ADLs severity of concern
0.66 (0.60–0.72)***
0.54 (0.49–0.59)*
0.63 (0.58–0.69)***
ADLs caregiver network
0.68 (0.62–0.74)***
0.57 (0.52–0.63)**
0.59 (0.53–0.65)**
Medical state
Medical state concern
0.54 (0.48–0.61)
0.52 (0.47–0.58)
0.53 (0.48–0.59)
Medical state severity of concern
0.62 (0.55–0.69)***
0.57 (0.52–0.62)*
0.62 (0.56–0.67)***
Medical state caregiver network
0.63 (0.56–0.69)***
0.54 (0.49–0.59)
0.56 (0.50–0.61)*
Statistically significant with value <0.05. **Statistically significant with value <0.01. ***Statistically significant with value <0.001.
