Journal of Aging Research / 2015 / Article / Tab 1

Research Article

Which Part of a Short, Global Risk Assessment, the Risk Instrument for Screening in the Community, Predicts Adverse Healthcare Outcomes?

Table 1

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve area under the curve scores and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the global risk score and components of the Risk Instrument for Screening in the Community (RISC) scores including mental state, activities of daily living (ADL), and medical state domains, the primary caregiver, and primary cohabitant (who the patient is living with), for predicting one-year risk of institutionalisation, hospitalisation, and death.

VariableActual outcomes
InstitutionalizationHospitalizationDeath

RISC global risk score (CI) 0.70 (0.62–0.76)*** 0.61 (0.55–0.66)***0.70 (0.64–0.75)***
Mental state
 Mental state concern 0.62 (0.55–0.69)***0.52 (0.47–0.58)0.56 (0.50–0.61)*
 Mental state severity of concern0.64 (0.57–0.71)***0.53 (0.47–0.58)0.56 (0.51–0.62)*
 Mental state caregiver  network 0.64 (0.57–0.71)***0.53 (0.47–0.58)0.56 (0.50–0.61)
ADLs
 ADLs concern 0.60 (0.54–0.66)**0.55 (0.50–0.60)0.56 (0.50–0.61)*
 ADLs severity of concern0.66 (0.60–0.72)***0.54 (0.49–0.59)*0.63 (0.58–0.69)***
 ADLs caregiver  network 0.68 (0.62–0.74)***0.57 (0.52–0.63)**0.59 (0.53–0.65)**
Medical state
 Medical state concern 0.54 (0.48–0.61)0.52 (0.47–0.58)0.53 (0.48–0.59)
 Medical state severity of concern0.62 (0.55–0.69)***0.57 (0.52–0.62)*0.62 (0.56–0.67)***
 Medical state caregiver  network 0.63 (0.56–0.69)***0.54 (0.49–0.59)0.56 (0.50–0.61)*

Statistically significant with value <0.05.
**Statistically significant with value <0.01.
***Statistically significant with value <0.001.

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