Setting Road Safety Targets in Cambodia: A Methodological Demonstration Using the Latent Risk Time Series Model

Table 5

Forecasted absolute numbers of Cambodian fatalities in the years 2010–2020, including their 68% confidence limits, according to the middle vehicle growth scenario.

Year	Lower bound	Fatalities	Upper bound
2010	1388.4	1832.4	2276.9
2011	1179.2	1904.2	2633.1
2012	960.3	1968.4	2991.3
2013	751.3	2047.5	3387.1
2014	567.3	2153.1	3845.3
2015	415.2	2288.2	4389.0
2016	295.6	2449.6	5044.3
2017	205.2	2630.1	5842.8
2018	139.3	2820.6	6823.8
2019	92.6	3011.6	8038.0
2020	60.4	3193.9	9551.1