Research Article
Highway Project Value of Money Assessment under PPP Mode and Its Application
Table 5
The estimated investment risks scenario of probabilistic methods, unit: million Yuan.
| Scenario | Risk consequences | Probability | Weighted |
| favorable | More than 5% construction cost savings | 5% | -5.24 | Basic | Construction cost savings 5% - cost overruns 5% | 10% | 0 | Unfavorable | Construction cost overruns 5% -15% | 50% | 104.82 | Poor | Construction cost overruns 15% -25% | 25% | 91.72 | Worst | More than 25% of construction cost overruns | 10% | 52.41 | | Weighted average | | 243.71 |
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