Forecasting of Short-Term Metro Ridership with Support Vector Machine Online Model

Table 2

Weekday and weekend performance comparison for one-step prediction.

Model	RMSE (ridership/5-min)	MAE (ridership/5-min)	MAPE (%)
November 27, Tuesday, 2012 at Sanshanjie Station
SARIMA	23.52	18.38	11.00
BPNN	34.84	26.82	15.99
SVM	34.85	26.82	15.93
SVMOOL	34.75	26.73	15.89
SVMPOL	45.29	32.82	20.48
SVMCOL	36.50	26.31	16.52
April 5, Thursday, 2012 at Zhujianglu Station
SARIMA	25.38	19.05	11.79
BPNN	33.84	23.53	13.89
SVM	33.78	23.58	13.93
SVMOOL	33.68	23.41	13.81
SVMPOL	57.75	32.86	17.90
SVMCOL	41.31	25.76	14.58
May 3, Thursday, 2012 at Zhujianglu Station
SARIMA	25.72	18.46	11.70
BPNN	39.05	26.99	15.09
SVM	39.18	27.10	15.13
SVMOOL	38.88	26.80	14.62
SVMPOL	58.45	32.02	15.92
SVMCOL	40.06	27.41	15.26