Forecasting of Short-Term Metro Ridership with Support Vector Machine Online Model

Table 4

Ching-Ming Festival and May Day performance comparison for one-step prediction.

Model	RMSE	MAE	MAPE (%)
April 2, Monday, 2012 at Zhujianglu Station
SARIMA	103.92	62.34	34.38
BPNN	29.01	22.98	14.39
SVM	30.48	23.98	14.68
SVMOOL	30.48	23.98	14.68
SVMPOL	31.37	25.06	14.89
SVMCOL	27.87	22.01	14.09
April 3, Tuesday, 2012 at Zhujianglu Station
SARIMA	102.98	54.73	32.40
BPNN	27.61	21.32	15.32
SVM	29.53	22.55	15.78
SVMOOL	27.42	21.21	15.26
SVMPOL	27.01	22.01	16.25
SVMCOL	24.84	19.48	14.18
April 4, Saturday, 2012 at Zhujianglu Station
SARIMA	121.96	69.05	51.69
BPNN	24.06	18.26	15.42
SVM	28.67	20.36	16.38
SVMOOL	23.88	18.08	15.35
SVMPOL	23.74	18.70	18.07
SVMCOL	21.90	16.95	15.64
April 30, Monday, 2012 at Zhujianglu Station
SARIMA	106.88	60.02	38.55
BPNN	28.68	22.17	15.42
SVM	32.25	24.51	16.22
SVMOOL	32.25	24.51	16.22
SVMPOL	28.46	22.58	14.02
SVMCOL	26.92	21.22	14.73
May 1, Tuesday, 2012 at Zhujianglu Station
SARIMA	117.53	65.01	53.22
BPNN	24.98	19.16	16.66
SVM	32.13	22.54	18.16
SVMOOL	24.28	18.80	16.34
SVMPOL	26.08	20.48	19.25
SVMCOL	21.16	16.24	15.59