Research Article

Nonlinear Forecasting Model regarding Evolutional Risk of the PPP Project

Table 3

The first-order difference of , , , and .

Year/Quarterdln Rdln Xdln Ydln Z

2014/20.260.010-0.08
2014/3-0.510.0100.09
2014/41.05-0.05-0.1-0.09
2015/10.3-0.04-0.06-0.06
2015/20.05-0.01-0.03-0.06
2015/30.060-0.050.02
2015/4-0.730.040.180.11
2016/1-0.180.020.03-0.02
2016/20.08-0.02-0.010.01
2016/30.57-0.01-0.09-0.03
2016/40.11-0.01-0.02-0.03
2017/10.05-0.01-0.010.03
2017/20.18-0.02-0.09-0.14
2017/3-0.160.010.060.09
2017/40.090.01-0.04-0.01