Joint Analysis of the Commuting Departure Time and Travel Mode Choice: Role of the Built Environment

Table 6

Predicted shares in different conditions.

Scenario group	Car		Transit		Walk and bicycle
	Peak (%)	Off-peak (%)	Peak (%)	Off-peak (%)	Peak (%)	Off-peak (%)
Base scenario	23.94	3.27	17.08	1.88	47.54	6.29
Scenario1: increasing travel cost of car travel at peak hour
CNY¥1	20.32	3.52	17.65	2.04	49.99	6.49
CNY¥2.5	15.53	3.97	18.68	2.01	53.26	6.55
CNY¥5	9.59	4.58	19.55	2.16	57.41	6.72
Scenario2: decreasing travel time of public transit at peak hour
10% savings	22.30	3.10	21.14	0.99	46.34	6.13
20% savings	20.66	2.83	24.72	0.71	45.21	5.87
30% savings	19.01	2.59	28.27	0.48	43.86	5.80
Scenario3: increasing bus stop density around commuters’ home location
10% increase	19.49	1.24	19.84	1.00	50.56	7.88
20% increase	19.20	1.15	20.04	0.93	50.81	7.86
30% increase	18.80	1.08	20.22	0.94	51.00	7.97