Bayesian Dynamic Linear Model with Adaptive Parameter Estimation for Short-Term Travel Speed Prediction

<p>Comparison of one-step forecasts and absolute errors for first-order DLM and the adaptive DLM in accident scenarios (road section 5W).<i> Left</i>: the one-step forecasts of average speed.<i> Right</i>: absolute residuals.</p>

Journal of Advanced Transportation

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Figure 6

Figure 6: Bayesian Dynamic Linear Model with Adaptive Parameter Estimation for Short-Term Travel Speed Prediction 