Estimation of Disease Transmission in Multimodal Transportation Networks

Table 9

Estimation of the number of incidence cases and the error of estimation for other province-level destination regions outside the province of Hubei.

Destination	Real condition	Est. results	Error	Error ratio (%)
Henan	1274.00	1566.14	292.14	22.93
Hunan	1018.00	1171.29	153.29	15.06
Anhui	990.00	904.71	−85.29	−8.62
Jiangxi	936.00	804.74	−131.26	−14.02
Guangdong	1415.00	276.77	−1138.23	−80.44
Jiangsu	633.00	554.78	−78.22	−12.36
Chongqing	577.00	268.48	−308.52	−53.47
Sichuan	543.00	129.20	−413.80	−76.21
Shandong	768.00	174.04	−593.96	−77.34
Zhejiang	1238.00	281.86	−956.14	−77.23
Hebei	319.00	255.22	−63.78	−19.99
Fujian	313.00	225.63	−87.37	−27.91
Beijing	537.00	163.05	−373.95	−69.64
Guangxi	254.00	92.93	−161.07	−63.41
Shanxi	248.00	235.29	−12.71	−5.13
Shanghai	404.00	228.54	−175.46	−43.43
Shanxi	133.00	140.66	7.66	5.76
Guizhou	146.00	136.85	−9.15	−6.26
Yunnan	176.00	53.22	−122.78	−69.76
Hainan	168.00	14.95	−153.05	−91.10
Gansu	136.00	56.10	−79.90	−58.75
Liaoning	127.00	16.91	−110.09	−86.68
Heilongjiang	484.00	7.75	−476.25	−98.40
Xinjiang	76.00	0.43	−75.57	−99.44
Inner Mongolia	75.00	42.14	−32.86	−43.82
Jilin	93.00	10.68	−82.32	−88.51
Tianjin	141.00	114.39	−26.61	−18.87
Ningxia	75.00	24.85	−50.15	−66.87
Qinghai	18.00	19.66	1.66	9.21
Tibet	1.00	26.01	25.01	2501.40
Hong Kong	233.00	114.65	−118.35	−50.79
Macao	155.00	70.40	−84.60	−54.58
Taiwan	11.00	31.83	20.83	189.38