Research Article

An Analysis of the Effects of Crash Factors and Precrash Actions on Side Impact Crashes at Unsignalized Intersections

Table 4

Random-parameter multinomial logit model of precrash actions for side impact crashes at four-way intersections.

Y1 = precrash action (base: other behaviors)Ran stop signFailed to yield at stop signFailed to yield at turn
Variables and descriptionβMEβMEβME

Constant−1.648−0.134−4.028
UrbanYes0.067−2.06%

Crash locationOpen country0.0130.03%0.096−0.07%

Residential area0.7342.61−0.5230.19%
Shopping center−0.217−0.470.145−0.15%

Roadway conditionDry1.860−3.54%

Wet1.874−0.53%

Lighting conditionDaylight−0.096−0.61%0.4234.89%−0.0390.07%

Dark without lighting0.5980.37%0.1750.16%0.743−0.12%
Dark with lighting−0.178−0.15%0.0370.05%−0.1290.03%

Roadway geometryStraight level road1.14112.26%1.47217.96%

Straight road with grade1.3451.65%1.1722.28%

Turn lane presentYes−1.495−1.38%−1.199−3.54%
No functioning traffic controlYes−1.559−1.89%−2.258−6.66%1.085−1.08%
At-fault driver_speedingYes−4.024−0.37%−4.2190.00%
At-fault driver_DUIYes−1.899−0.23%−3.734−0.46%−2.7930.01%
GenderMale−0.230−1.64%

Causal driver age21 years old or younger0.1970.37%0.0290.09%

22∼31 years old0.2690.53%−0.234−0.72%
32∼41 years old0.1610.19%−0.127−0.25%
42∼51 years old−0.209−0.17%−0.393−0.63%
52∼61 years old−0.105−0.09%−0.080−0.13%
62∼71 years old−0.051−0.04%0.0520.08%

Point of impactFront passenger side0.6010.55%0.2660.33%−0.7240.04%

Back passenger side0.3620.27%0.0950.11%−0.4440.03%
Bumper0.1600.51%0.7084.57%1.003−1.46%
Driver door0.2750.25%0.2090.31%0.435−0.09%
Passenger side behind the driver0.0950.07%0.1160.15%0.117−0.02%

Causal vehicle typePassenger car0.3722.81%0.342−0.42%

Pickup0.3140.85%0.124−0.05%
SUV0.4891.26%0.291−0.14%

Noncausal vehicle typePassenger car−0.0890.10%

Pickup−0.1380.06%
SUV−0.2960.12%

Scale parameters for random parameters in precrash actionsStraight level road1.137

Urban1.793
Causal vehicle: SUV0.721

Summary statisticsNumber of observations13,910
Log likelihood at zero L (0)−19,283.355
Log likelihood at convergence L (β)−12,703.043
Pseudo-R20.341
Likelihood-ratio test (vs. regular multinomial logit)Prob. = 0.000
AIC25,556.1

Significance at 1%; 5%; 10% levels.