[Retracted] Forecasting Foreign Direct Investment Inflow to Egypt and Determinates: Using Machine Learning Algorithms and ARIMA Model

Table 3

Independent variables’ prediction by the ARIMA model.

Variables	Model	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
GDP (constant 2010 US$)	(0, 1, 1)	313126	320769	328412	376054	343697	351340	358983	366626	374268	381911	389554
GDP per capita (constant 2010 US$)	(1, 1, 0)	3095	3168.5	3234.4	3295.8	3552.8	3408.1	3461.8	3514.5	3566.5	3618	3669
Trade (% of GDP)	(1, 1, 2)	35.9	37.86	35.41	37.1	34.9	36.3	34.4	35.6	33.8	34.8	33.3
Unemployment, total (% of total labor force)	(0, 1, 2)	8.8	8.9	8.9	9	9.1	9.1	9.2	9.2	9.3	9.3	9.4
Inflation, consumer prices (annual %)	(2, 1, 1)	5	8.4	4.99	4.42	3.92	3.53	3.23	3	2.82	2.67	2.55
Lending interest rate (%)	(0, 1, 1)	15.7	15.6	15.5	15.4	15.3	15.2	15	14.9	14.8	14.6	14.5
Human development index	(0, 1, 1)	0.71	0.71	0.72	0.73	0.73	0.74	0.75	0.75	0.76	0.76	0.77
Population million	(0, 1, 1)	102	103.6	105.3	106.8	108.4	110	111.6	113.2	114.8	116.3	118
Exchange rate	(2, 1, 2)	16.3	18.7	18.6	18.4	19.9	20.3	20.3	21.4	21.9	22.1	22.9

Source: it is made by the author.