Research Article
[Retracted] Forecasting Foreign Direct Investment Inflow to Egypt and Determinates: Using Machine Learning Algorithms and ARIMA Model
Table 4
Arima model accuracy for independent variables’ prediction.
| Variables | RMSE | MAE | MAPE | R2 | Autocorrelation |
| GDP | 3421 | 2757 | 0.012 | 0.98 | 0.08 | GDP per capita | 74.1 | 53.9 | 0.027 | 0.96 | 0.1 | Trade (% GDP) | 7.1 | 3.4 | 0.13 | 0.74 | 0.03 | Unemployment (%) | 2.1 | 2.04 | 0.17 | 0.91 | 0.18 | Inflation rate (%) | 16.7 | 2.8 | 0.09 | 0.94 | 0.17 | Lending rate (%) | 1.7 | 1 | 0.095 | 0.61 | 0.11 | Human development index | 0.04 | 0.003 | 0.005 | 0.98 | 0.7 | Population total | 1.09 | 0.23 | 0.008 | 0.98 | 0.05 | Exchange rate (%) | 0.8 | 0.26 | 0.06 | 0.94 | 0.06 |
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Source: it is made by the author.
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