Research Article
An Improved CEEMDAN-FE-TCN Model for Highway Traffic Flow Prediction
Table 7
Prediction error of different algorithms of 717490 and 718462.
| 717490 | 718462 |
| Model | Evaluation criterion | One-step | Two-step | Three-step | Model | Evaluation criterion | One-step | Two-step | Three-step |
| TCN | MAE | 24.98 | 27.00 | 28.59 | TCN | MAE | 5.31 | 5.41 | 5.41 | RMSE | 34.33 | 36.79 | 38.75 | RMSE | 7.01 | 7.11 | 7.16 | GEH (Average) | 1.31 | 1.43 | 1.52 | GEH (Average) | 1.00 | 1.02 | 1.01 | R-square | 0.967 | 0.962 | 0.958 | R-square | 0.820 | 0.815 | 0.812 |
| LSTM | MAE | 26.22 | 27.56 | 28.80 | LSTM | MAE | 5.35 | 5.52 | 5.58 | RMSE | 35.83 | 37.74 | 38.91 | RMSE | 7.02 | 7.28 | 7.34 | GEH (Average) | 1.39 | 1.47 | 1.54 | GEH (Average) | 1.01 | 1.04 | 1.05 | R-square | 0.964 | 0.960 | 0.957 | R-square | 0.820 | 0.806 | 0.803 |
| GRU | MAE | 25.06 | 27.23 | 28.10 | GRU | MAE | 5.34 | 5.50 | 5.58 | RMSE | 35.03 | 37.88 | 38.99 | RMSE | 7.02 | 7.24 | 7.37 | GEH (Average) | 1.30 | 1.42 | 1.45 | GEH (Average) | 1.01 | 1.03 | 1.05 | R-square | 0.965 | 0.960 | 0.957 | R-square | 0.820 | 0.808 | 0.801 |
| SVR | MAE | 30.30 | 32.69 | 33.80 | SVR | MAE | 5.41 | 5.55 | 5.64 | RMSE | 39.33 | 42.53 | 44.15 | RMSE | 7.17 | 7.31 | 7.42 | GEH (Average) | 1.69 | 1.87 | 1.94 | GEH (Average) | 1.02 | 1.05 | 1.07 | R-square | 0.956 | 0.949 | 0.945 | R-square | 0.812 | 0.804 | 0.799 |
| HA | MAE | 31.92 | 33.70 | 35.55 | HA | MAE | 5.69 | 5.83 | 5.96 | RMSE | 44.89 | 47.70 | 50.66 | RMSE | 7.55 | 7.76 | 7.95 | GEH (Average) | 1.66 | 1.75 | 1.85 | GEH (Average) | 1.07 | 1.09 | 1.12 | R-square | 0.943 | 0.936 | 0.928 | R-square | 0.792 | 0.780 | 0.769 |
| ICEEMDAN-FE-TCN | MAE | 7.36 | 11.57 | 13.87 | ICEEMDAN-FE-TCN | MAE | 2.10 | 2.97 | 3.39 | RMSE | 10.34 | 16.93 | 19.09 | RMSE | 2.96 | 3.99 | 4.36 | GEH (Average) | 0.39 | 0.60 | 0.73 | GEH (Average) | 0.39 | 0.56 | 0.66 | R-square | 0.997 | 0.992 | 0.990 | R-square | 0.968 | 0.942 | 0.927 |
| ICEEMDAN-FE-LSTM | MAE | 9.32 | 13.37 | 14.66 | ICEEMDAN-FE-LSTM | MAE | 2.34 | 3.09 | 3.49 | RMSE | 12.61 | 18.25 | 19.71 | RMSE | 3.10 | 4.08 | 4.48 | GEH (Average) | 0.50 | 0.74 | 0.79 | GEH (Average) | 0.47 | 0.61 | 0.72 | R-square | 0.996 | 0.991 | 0.989 | R-square | 0.965 | 0.939 | 0.927 |
| ICEEMDAN-FE-GRU | MAE | 8.41 | 12.32 | 14.91 | ICEEMDAN-FE-GRU | MAE | 2.39 | 3.45 | 3.49 | RMSE | 11.68 | 17.26 | 20.12 | RMSE | 3.14 | 4.33 | 4.51 | GEH (Average) | 0.43 | 0.64 | 0.80 | GEH (Average) | 0.49 | 0.74 | 0.70 | R-square | 0.996 | 0.992 | 0.989 | R-square | 0.964 | 0.931 | 0.925 |
| ICEEMDAN-FE-SVR | MAE | 17.13 | 26.08 | 28.95 | ICEEMDAN-FE-SVR | MAE | 2.60 | 3.54 | 3.85 | RMSE | 22.31 | 33.57 | 36.40 | RMSE | 3.55 | 4.79 | 5.16 | GEH (Average) | 0.92 | 1.49 | 1.67 | GEH (Average) | 0.51 | 0.69 | 0.74 | R-square | 0.986 | 0.968 | 0.963 | R-square | 0.954 | 0.916 | 0.903 |
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Note.indicates the best results; ICEEMDAN means improved CEEMDAN. |