Journal of Cancer Epidemiology / 2013 / Article / Tab 3

Research Article

Trends in Breast Cancer Incidence Rates by Age and Stage at Diagnosis in Gharbiah, Egypt, over 10 Years (1999–2008)

Table 3

Average annual percent change (AAPC) in breast cancer incidence rates/100,000 person-years by summary stage and age group and predictions for breast cancer caseloads, years 2009–2015.

StageAge groupYearsAAPCaLCLbUCLc

Localized0–291999–2008−2.7%−16.2%13%
30–391999–2008−1.3%−6.4%4.1%
40–491999–20085.8%2.4%9.3%
50–591999–20083.1%−1.8%8.3%
60–691999–20089.4%3.5%15.7%
70+1999–200818.2%−1.7%42.0%
Overall1999–20085.5%3.1%8.0%
Regional0–291999–2008−0.5%−11.1%11.4%
30–391999–2008−0.9%−3.9%2.3%
40–491999–2008−0.7%−3.4%2.0%
50–591999–20083.8%1.2%6.4%
60–691999–20084.7%1.8%7.7%
70+1999–20086.6%−2.5%16.6%
Overall1999–20082.6%1.0%4.3%
Distant0–291999–2008−45.7%−76.2%23.8%
30–391999–2008−11.3%−19.6%−2.1%
40–491999–2008−5.4%−10.2%−0.2%
50–591999–2008−2.2%−9.4%5.5%
60–691999–2008−4.9%−11.4%2.1%
70+1999–20083.8%−8.6%18.0%
Overall1999–2008−4.0%−8.2%0.4%

Localized0–292009–20150.0%0.0%0.0%
30–392009–20150.9%0.1%1.7%
40–492009–20152.1%1.9%2.4%
50–592009–20152.9%2.5%3.2%
60–692009–20151.0%0.6%1.4%
70+2009–20152.2%0.9%3.5%
Overall 2009–20151.3%1.2%1.4%
Regional0–292009–20151.5%0.5%2.5%
30–392009–20151.0%0.8%1.2%
40–492009–20152.0%1.9%2.2%
50–592009–20152.7%2.6%2.8%
60–692009–20151.1%0.9%1.3%
70+2009–20151.6%1.0%2.3%
Overall2009–20151.3%1.3%1.4%
Distant0–292009–20150.0%0.0%0.0%
30–392009–20150.0%0.0%0.0%
40–492009–20152.1%1.3%3.0%
50–592009–20152.4%1.7%3.2%
60–692009–20152.3%0.8%3.8%
70+2009–20152.3%0.2%4.5%
Overall2009–20151.4%1.2%1.7%

Average annual percent change.
bLower confidence limit (95% confidence interval).
cUpper confidence limit (95% confidence interval).
Results in bold are statistically significant at the alpha 0.05 level.

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