Species Favourability Shift in Europe due to Climate Change: A Case Study for Fagus sylvatica L. and Picea abies (L.) Karst. Based on an Ensemble of Climate Models

Table 1

Ensemble members for distribution calculation and the appropriate GCMs and RCMs. Detailed description of the models is reported in [13].

GCM

ARPEGE

BCM

CGCM3

ECHAM5

HadCM3Q0

HadCM3Q3

HadCM3Q16

IPSL

RCM

CNRM-RM4.5

CNRM-RM5.1

DMI-HIRHAM5

DMI-HIRHAM5

METNOHIRHAM

SMHI-RCA

OURANOSMRCC4.2.1

C4IRCA3

DMI-HIRHAM5

ICTP-REGCM3

KNMI-RACMO2

MPI-REMO

SMHI-RCA

ETHZ-CLM

METO-HC-HadRM3Q0

METNOHIRHAM

UCLM-PROMES

VMGO-RRCM

METO-HC-HadCM3Q3

SMHI-RCA

METO-HC-HadCM3Q16

MPI-REMO

1971–2000

x

x

x

x

x

x

x^∗

x

x

x

x

x

x

x

x

x

x

x^∗ ∗

x

x

x

x

2021–2050

x

x

x

x

x

x

x^∗

x

x

x

x

x

x

x

x

x

x

x^∗ ∗

x

x

x

x

2071–2100

—

x^1

x

x

—

x

—

—

x^1

x

x

x

x

x

x

—

—

—

x

x

x

x

X: realized SDM; 1year 2100 deleted; ∗skipped for beech; **skipped for beech and spruce.