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Journal of Control Science and Engineering
Volume 2015 (2015), Article ID 291363, 5 pages
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/291363
Research Article

Analysis of Urban Car Owners Commute Mode Choice Based on Evolutionary Game Model

1School of Civil Engineering and Transportation, South China University of Technology, No. 381 Wushan Road, Tianhe District, Guangzhou 510641, China
2School of Civil Engineering, Guangzhou University, Panyu University City Outer Ring Road No. 230, Guangzhou 510006, China

Received 16 November 2014; Revised 9 February 2015; Accepted 10 February 2015

Academic Editor: Hung-Yuan Chung

Copyright © 2015 Huawei Gong and Wenzhou Jin. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

Abstract

With the aggravation of the traffic congestion in the city, car owners will have to give up commuting with private cars and take the public transportation instead. The paper uses the replication dynamic mechanism to simulate the learning and adjustment mechanism of the automobile owners commuting mode selection. The evolutionary stable strategy is used to describe the long-term evolution of competition game trend. Finally we simulate equilibrium and stability of an evolution of the game under a payoff imbalance situation. The research shows that a certain proportion of car owners will choose public transit under the pressure of public transport development and heavy traffic, and the proportion will be closely related to the initial conditions and urban transportation development policy.