Research Article

Predicting Changes in Cardiovascular Risk Factors in Type 2 Diabetes in the Post-UKPDS Era: Longitudinal Analysis of the Swedish National Diabetes Register

Table 3

Prediction of risk factors for two hypothetical patients over 5 years after the diagnosis.

Risk factorValue in year of diagnosisYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5

Patient 1: woman with BMI equal to 27 and 60 years old in the year of diagnosis and nonsmoking

HbA1c (%)7.006.496.506.586.686.78
Systolic BP (mmHg)138.00136.43135.76135.52135.46135.48
BMI (Kg/m2)27.0027.4127.8128.1828.5128.80
TC : HDL4.503.983.703.563.493.46
LDL cholesterol (mmolL−1)3.002.902.832.782.752.72

Patient 2: man with BMI equal to 32 and 60 years old in the year of diagnosis and smoking at diagnosis

HbA1c (%)7.006.586.626.716.806.88
Systolic BP (mmHg)138.00138.63138.82138.82138.75138.68
BMI (Kg/m2)32.0031.0930.4329.9329.5629.29
TC : HDL4.504.204.023.913.853.81
LDL cholesterol (mmolL−1)3.002.852.752.692.662.63