Research Article

The Importance of Distance between Photovoltaic Power Stations for Clear Accuracy of Short-Term Photovoltaic Power Forecasting

Table 6

Summary of accuracy assessment of NARX neural network forecasting model for each location.

Metrics/LocationsRabat 60kWpRabat 2kWpCasablanca 3kWp

RMSENARX 27 (%)10.14511.178
RMSEPERSISTENCE 27 (%)23.33922.887
(%)0.5650.511
MAE NARX 27 (%)5.1308.333
MAEPERSISTENCE 27 (%)15.64215.448
(%)0.6720.460
RMSENARX 28 (%)5.9486.570
RMSEPERSISTENCE 28 (%)15.57015.098
(%)0.6170.564
MAE NARX 28 (%)3.5083.593
MAEPERSISTENCE 28 (%)9.2979.041
(%)0.6220.602
RMSENARX 29 (%)8.03611.178
RMSEPERSISTENCE 29 (%)16.26115.763
(%)
MAE NARX 29 (%)4.8417.082
MAEPERSISTENCE 29 (%)9.2108.977
(%)0.4740.211
RMSENARX 25 (%)10.043
RMSEPERSISTENCE 25 (%)75.119
(%)0.866
MAE NARX 25 (%)5.491
MAEPERSISTENCE 25 (%)79.015
(%)0.930
RMSENARX 26 (%)12.099
RMSEPERSISTENCE 26 (%)17.641
(%)0.314
MAE NARX 26 (%)7.699
MAEPERSISTENCE 26 (%)11.412
(%)0.325
RMSENARX 27 (%)8.945
RMSEPERSISTENCE 27 (%)11.212
(%)0.202
MAE NARX 27 (%)6.393
MAEPERSISTENCE 27 (%)6.688
(%)0.044