Research Article

Statistical Analysis Aiming at Predicting Respiratory Tract Disease Hospital Admissions from Environmental Variables in the City of São Paulo

Table 1

Correlation between air pollutants (PM10, SO2, CO, NO2, and O3), meteorological variables (air temperature, relative humidity, pressure, and precipitation), and comfort indices (ET and ETw) and URI, LRI, and IP. The values in bold have higher statistical significance and correlation coefficients.

Independent variableslagURI r(p)LAGLRI R(p)LAGIP R(p)

PM10lag0 0.204 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag00.175   ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag00.321   ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 )
SO2lag0 0.313   ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag0 0.154 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag0 0.354 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 )
COlag00.274   ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag5 0.114 ( 𝑃 = . 0 0 1 ) lag0 0.181 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 )
NO2lag0 0.266 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag0 0.025 ( 𝑃 > . 0 0 5 ) lag0 0.188 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 )
O3lag0 0.105 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag30.093   ( 𝑃 = . 0 0 1 ) lag7 0.097 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 3 )
ET1lag4 0.129 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag5 0.133 ( 𝑃 = . 0 0 1 ) lag3 0.267 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 )
ET2lag4 0.129 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag5 0.131 ( 𝑃 = . 0 0 1 ) lag3 0.263 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 )
ET3lag4 0.131 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag4 0.185 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag3 0.392 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 )
ET4lag6 0.134 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag3 0.186 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag2 0.445 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 )
ET5lag6 0.128 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag3 0.185 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag2 0.435 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 )
ETw1lag4 0.135 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag5 0.135 ( 𝑃 = . 0 0 1 ) lag3 0.287 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 )
ETw2lag4 0.129 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag5 0.118 ( 𝑃 = . 0 0 1 ) lag3 0.248 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 )
ETw3lag4 0.134 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag3 0.182 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag3 0.396 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 )
ETw4lag4 0.136   ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag3 0.187   ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag3 0.496   ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 )
ETw5lag4 0.134 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag3 0.182 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag3 0.401 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 )
Tmeanlag3 0.132 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag5 0.185 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag3 0.391 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 )
Tminimumlag3 0.134 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag3 0.186 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag3 0.445 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 )
Tmaximumlag4 0.129 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag5 0.131 ( 𝑃 = . 0 0 6 ) lag2 0.262 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 )
Pressure meanlag3 0.087 ( 𝑃 < . 0 2 8 ) lag2 0.203 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag3 0.378 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 )
Pressure minimumlag3 0.089 ( 𝑃 < . 0 3 2 ) lag3 0.200 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag3 0.375 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 )
Pressure maximumlag3 0.084 ( 𝑃 < . 0 3 3 ) lag2 0.207 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag2 0.385 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 )
RHmeanlag3 0.051 ( 𝑃 < . 0 4 2 ) lag1 0.115 ( 𝑃 = . 0 0 1 ) lag0 0.155 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 )
RHminimumlag5 0.036 ( 𝑃 < . 0 6 5 ) lag1 0.145 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag0 0.193 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 )
RHmaximumlag4 0.024 ( 𝑃 < . 0 7 4 ) lag1 0.099 ( 𝑃 = . 0 0 1 ) lag4 0.122 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 )
Precipitationlag3 0.057 ( 𝑃 < . 0 3 8 ) lag3 0.141 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 ) lag0 0.212 ( 𝑃 < . 0 0 1 )