Population Dynamics and Air Pollution: The Impact of Demographics on Health Impact Assessment of Air Pollution

Table 2

Total numbers of excess deaths, lost life years, and social cost in M€ for the years 2005–2050 attributable to Danish air pollution emitted in the period 2005–2030 by age and sex, for the three different scenarios (first: fixed population, second: static mortality, and third: expected development).

		Men			Women
	Fixed	Static	Expected	Fixed	Static	Expected
Excess deaths
0–39 years	165	116	79	133	77	51
40–64 years	2.808	1.824	1.431	2.838	1.778	1.278
65–84 years	5.995	3.655	4.184	9.117	5.925	5.762
85+ years	1.387	−3.779	−3.560	4.471	−5.346	−4.676
Total	10.355	1.816	2.134	16.559	2.434	2.416
Lost life years
0–39 years	4.670	1.546	1.102	3.498	977	698
40–64 years	65.903	14.921	11.618	64.044	13.747	9.898
65–84 years	146.736	70.976	62.391	224.341	80.010	66.318
85+ years	38.446	36.256	46.562	124.683	71.839	81.672
Total	255.756	123.699	121.672	416.567	166.574	158.586
Social cost (M€)
0–39 years	10.6	8.1	6.0	7.0	4.8	3.5
40–64 years	197.0	144.9	120.2	118.3	87.4	67.4
65–84 years	33.5	37.0	33.3	50.5	48.8	41.9
85+ years	3.5	−7.0	−5.9	10.1	−6.6	−4.9
Total	244.5	183.1	153.6	185.9	134.4	108.0