Research Article
Measuring and Preventing COVID-19 Using the SIR Model and Machine Learning in Smart Health Care
Table 5
Hyperparameter estimation of the basic SIR model.
| | Start | End | Population | ODE | Rho | Sigma | tau min | | 1/beta (day) | 1/gamma (day) | RMSLE | Trials |
| 1st | 10 May 2020 | 18 May 2020 | 32,94 M | SIR | 0.07831 | 0.07383 | 1440 | 1.06 | 12 | 13 | 0.02243 | 85 | 2nd | 19 May 2020 | 25 May 2020 | 32,94 M | SIR | 0.08977 | 0.08436 | 1440 | 1.06 | 11 | 11 | 0.00902 | 84 | 3rd | 26 May 2020 | 02 Jun 2020 | 32,94 M | SIR | 0.06981 | 0.10682 | 1440 | 0.65 | 14 | 9 | 0.01957 | 85 | 4th | 03 Jun 2020 | 10 Jun 2020 | 32,94 M | SIR | 0.10942 | 0.05181 | 1440 | 2.11 | 9 | 19 | 0.00816 | 85 |
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