Research Article

Construction of a Prediction Model for the Mortality of Elderly Patients with Diabetic Nephropathy

Table 3

Comparisons between the characteristics of patients in the survival group and death group in the training set.

VariableSurvival within 2 years (n = 203)Death within 2 years (n = 155)Statistical magnitudeP

Gender, n (%)χ 2 = 1.4950.221
 Male110 (54.19)94 (60.65)
 Female93 (45.81)61 (39.35)

Marital status, n (%)χ 2 = 10.7220.057
 Divorced17 (8.37)7 (4.52)
 Married98 (48.28)76 (49.03)
 Separated0 (0.00)3 (1.94)
 Single33 (16.26)20 (12.90)
 Unknown3 (1.48)7 (4.52)
 Widowed52 (25.62)42 (27.10)

Ethnicity, n (%)Fisher0.134
 Asian6 (2.96)9 (5.81)
 Black44 (21.67)21 (13.55)
 Hispanic or Latino4 (1.97)3 (1.94)
 Others7 (3.45)2 (1.29)
 Unknown14 (6.90)17 (10.97)
 White128 (63.05)103 (66.45)

LOS, M (Q1, Q3)2.15 (1.22, 3.66)3.01 (1.61, 6.50)Z = 3.734<0.001
Age, M (Q1, Q3)73.59 (69.32, 80.24)76.03 (70.54, 80.87)Z = 1.7700.077
Respiratory rate, mean ± SD18.87 ± 5.1619.69 ± 6.23t = −1.330.185
Temperature, mean ± SD36.59 ± 0.8736.41 ± 1.02t = 1.750.081
Heart rate, mean ± SD80.12 ± 17.0785.81 ± 19.38t = −2.950.003
SBP, mean ± SD127.97 ± 27.43124.51 ± 27.80t = 1.180.240
DBP, mean ± SD58.17 ± 16.5459.08 ± 18.68t = −0.490.625
MAP, mean ± SD77.33 ± 17.9579.32 ± 22.14t = −0.910.363
SpO2, mean ± SD96.52 ± 5.8697.42 ± 3.73t = −1.770.077
WBC, M (Q1, Q3)9.50 (7.30, 12.40)10.20 (7.50, 13.00)Z = 1.2110.226
RBC, mean ± SD3.72 ± 0.743.58 ± 0.64t = 1.850.064
Sodium, mean ± SD137.45 ± 4.91137.63 ± 4.94t = −0.340.733
Potassium, mean ± SD4.63 ± 1.004.64 ± 0.95t = −0.030.979
Phosphate, M (Q1, Q3)3.90 (3.20, 4.80)4.00 (3.40, 5.10)Z = 1.5060.132
Calcium, mean ± SD8.82 ± 0.968.57 ± 0.91t = 2.480.014
PLT, M (Q1, Q3)218.00 (174.00, 273.00)220.00 (170.00, 303.00)Z = 0.1130.910
Lactate, M (Q1, Q3)1.58 (1.20, 2.10)1.70 (1.30, 2.30)Z = 1.4540.146
INR, M (Q1, Q3)1.20 (1.10,1.40)1.30 (1.10,1.60)Z = 2.7670.006
MCV, mean ± SD90.36 ± 7.5791.48 ± 7.67t = −1.380.167
Magnesium, mean ± SD2.03 ± 0.382.05 ± 0.46t = −0.390.700
Glucose, M (Q1, Q3)178.00 (125.00, 253.00)163.00 (125.00, 239.00)Z = −0.9950.320
Creatinine, M (Q1, Q3)2.30 (1.60, 4.20)2.90 (1.90, 4.30)Z = 2.1000.036
BUN, M (Q1,Q3)43.00 (30.00,61.00)50.00 (32.00,72.00)Z = 2.4470.014
Bicarbonate, mean ± SD24.20 ± 4.9724.56 ± 6.05t = −0.600.548
Hematocrit, mean ± SD33.37 ± 6.2832.59 ± 5.43t = 1.240.215
Hemoglobin, mean ± SD11.02 ± 2.0110.61 ± 1.79t = 2.030.043
MCHC, mean ± SD33.05 ± 1.5632.59 ± 1.58t = 2.780.006
RDW, mean ± SD15.40 ± 1.7416.37 ± 2.07t = −4.71<0.001
COPD, n (%)χ 2 = 1.3200.251
 No173 (85.22)125 (80.65)
 Yes30 (14.78)30 (19.35)

AF, n (%)χ 2 = 0.6120.434
 No121 (59.61)86 (55.48)
 Yes82 (40.39)69 (44.52)

Liver cirrhosis, n (%)χ 2 = 0.0690.792
 No194 (95.57)149 (96.13)
 Yes9 (4.43)6 (3.87)

Respiratory failure, n (%)χ 2 = 4.2820.039
 No155 (76.35)103 (66.45)
 Yes48 (23.65)52 (33.55)

Hyperlipidemia, n (%)χ 2 = 24.505<0.001
 No80 (39.41)102 (65.81)
 Yes123 (60.59)53 (34.19)

Malignant cancer, n (%)χ 2 = 0.6040.437
 No161 (79.31)128 (82.58)
 Yes42 (20.69)27 (17.42)

SAPS-II score, mean ± SD40.28 ± 10.7445.77 ± 11.71t = −4.62<0.001
SOFA score, M (Q1, Q3)5.00 (3.00, 7.00)6.00 (4.00, 8.00)Z = 4.397<0.001
Insulin, n (%)χ 2 = 3.0310.082
 No11 (5.42)16 (10.32)
 Yes192 (94.58)139 (89.68)

Metformin, n (%)Fisher0.309
 No196 (96.55)153 (98.71)
 Yes7 (3.45)2 (1.29)

eGFR-MDRD, M (Q1, Q3)25.42 (12.48, 39.27)20.41 (11.55, 31.45)Z = −2.2660.023
eGFR-CKD-EPI, M (Q1, Q3)25.60 (13.67, 36.52)19.68 (12.99, 29.23)Z = −2.7050.007
CVD, n (%)χ 2 = 0.5900.442
 No53 (26.11)35 (22.58)
 Yes150 (73.89)120 (77.42)

CKD, n (%)χ 2 = 3.7710.052
 No60 (29.56)61 (39.35)
 Yes143 (70.44)94 (60.65)

Myocardial infarction, n (%)χ 2 = 0.0220.881
 No136 (67.00)105 (67.74)
 Yes67 (33.00)50 (32.26)

Hypertension, n (%)χ 2 = 0.0270.870
 No157 (77.34)121 (78.06)
 Yes46 (22.66)34 (21.94)

Diabetic retinopathy, n (%)χ 2 = 4.8880.027
 No160 (78.82)136 (87.74)
 Yes43 (21.18)19 (12.26)

Peripheral vascular disease, n (%)χ 2 = 0.7500.386
 No193 (95.07)144 (92.90)
 Yes10 (4.93)11 (7.10)

LOS: length of stay, SBP: systolic blood pressure, DBP: diastolic blood pressure, MAP: mean arterial pressure, SpO2: peripheral oxygen saturation, WBC: white blood cells, RBC: red blood cells, INR: international normalized ratio, MCV: mean corpuscular volume, MCHC: mean corpuscular hemoglobin concentration, RDW: red cell distribution width, COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, AF: atrial fibrillation, eGFR-CKD-EPI: the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration equation for estimated glomerular filtration rate, eGFR-MDRD: the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease equation for estimated glomerular filtration rate, CKD: chronic kidney disease, CVD: cardiovascular diseases, SOFA: Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, SAPS-II: the simplified acute physiology score-II.