Research Article

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Biomarker-Guided Treatment for Metastatic Gastric Cancer in the Second-Line Setting

Table 2

Summary of parameters for sensitivity analyses.

ParameterRange (SD)Distribution

Proportion MSI-H0.02–0.22 (0.05)Beta
Probabilities
Probability of disease progression (MSI-H: PEM)±30%Uniform
Probability of disease progression (all other strategies)±30%Normal
Probability of cancer mortality on 3L best supportive care±30%Normal
Costs (total)
Pembrolizumab$10831–$15331 ($1354)Gamma
Pembrolizumab trAEs (grade 3/4)$14615–$24358 ($2436)Gamma
Paclitaxel$1843–$2343 ($230)Gamma
Paclitaxel trAEs (grade 3/4)$9898–$16497 ($1649)Gamma
Ramucirumab + paclitaxel$11996–$16996 ($1500)Gamma
Ramucirumab + paclitaxel trAEs (grade 3/4)$15493–$25822 ($2582)Gamma
Best supportive care$4136–$6136 ($311)Gamma
Utilities/Disutilities
2L progression-free survival0.55–0.69Uniform
3L best supportive care following progression0.22–0.57Uniform
Pembrolizumab trAEs (grade 1/2)0.02–0.14Uniform
Pembrolizumab trAEs (grade 3/4)0.08–0.22Uniform
Paclitaxel trAEs (grade 1/2)0.05–0.13Uniform
Paclitaxel trAEs (grade 3/4)0.06–0.37Uniform
Ramucirumab + paclitaxel trAEs (grade 1/2)0.00–0.24Uniform
Ramucirumab + paclitaxel trAEs (grade 3/4)0.16–0.35Uniform