Research Article

The Application of Gail Model to Predict the Risk of Developing Breast Cancer among Jordanian Women

Table 2

Characteristics of high- and low-risk patients according to the modified Gail model (age: 35–59.9 years)

VariableHigh-risk group (modified Gail score >0.65) (N = 210)Low-risk group (modified Gail score ≤0.65) (N = 1003)
NMean95% CINMean95% CI

Estimated risk for developing invasive breast cancer:
(i) Over the next 5 years2101.08(1.01, 1.15)9700.42(0.41, 0.43)
(ii) Over lifetime (age 90)2105.9(5.48, 6.33)9702.9(2.8, 2.94)

Age21049.7(48.9, 50.5)100346.6(46.1, 47.0)
Age at first pregnancy16327.2(26.3, 28.1)45422.1(21.7, 22.5)
Age at menarche16813.1(12.9, 13.3)71113.1(13.0, 13.2)
NCount (%)NCount (%)

First-degree family with breast cancer210120 (57.1%)100323 (2.3%)
Prior breast biopsy21021 (10.0%)97514 (1.4%)