Determinants of Change in Fertility among Women in Rural Areas of Uganda

Table 6

Detailed decomposition of the observed change in fertility among rural women based on MCEB.

Characteristics effects					Coefficient effects
Variable	Coef × 1000	STE	P-value	%	Coef × 1000	STE	P-value	%
Education level
No education	1.000				1.000
Primary	−0.207	0.026	0.001	1.4	−5.392	1.644	0.001	36.5
Secondary+	−2.834	0.228	0.001	19.2	−2.054	0.636	0.001	13.9
Wealth
Poor	1.000
Middle	0.027	0.010	0.009	−0.2	−0.099	0.601	0.869	0.7
Rich	0.001	0.018	0.956	0.0	−1.974	0.944	0.036	13.4
Sex of household head
Male	1.000
Female	−0.056	0.027	0.036	0.4	−1.814	0.781	0.020	12.3
Current working status
Not working	1.000				1.000
Working	−0.450	0.102	0.001	3.0	0.497	3.175	0.876	−3.4
Polygamy
No cowife	1.000				1.000
Has cowife	−0.188	0.030	0.001	1.3	1.577	0.580	0.007	−10.7
Single/not sure	−0.153	0.043	0.001	1.0	1.571	0.880	0.074	−10.6
Exposure to family planning messages
Not exposed	1.000				1.000
Exposed	−0.187	0.074	0.011	1.3	−2.356	1.339	0.078	15.9
Age at first sex
Below 15	1.000				1.000
15–19	−1.268	0.178	0.001	8.6	−2.893	1.648	0.079	19.6
20+	3.583	0.215	0.001	−24.2	−7.071	1.315	0.001	47.8
Family size preferences
0–2	1.000				1.000
3–4	0.339	0.152	0.026	−2.3	−2.323	2.715	0.392	15.7
5+	−1.177	0.133	0.001	8.0	−1.209	3.598	0.737	8.2
Nonnumeric	−0.406	0.044	0.001	2.7	0.524	0.342	0.126	−3.5
Age at first marriage
Not yet married	1.000				1.000
Below 15	−3.869	0.219	0.001	26.2	−2.065	2.342	0.378	14.0
15–19	−5.585	0.320	0.001	37.8	−7.269	8.461	0.390	49.2
20+	6.112	0.339	0.001	−41.3	−0.591	2.270	0.795	4.0