Research Article
Determinants of Change in Fertility among Women in Rural Areas of Uganda
Table 6
Detailed decomposition of the observed change in fertility among rural women based on MCEB.
| Characteristics effects | Coefficient effects | Variable | Coef × 1000 | STE | P-value | % | Coef × 1000 | STE | P-value | % |
| Education level | No education | 1.000 | | | | 1.000 | | | | Primary | −0.207 | 0.026 | 0.001 | 1.4 | −5.392 | 1.644 | 0.001 | 36.5 | Secondary+ | −2.834 | 0.228 | 0.001 | 19.2 | −2.054 | 0.636 | 0.001 | 13.9 |
| Wealth | Poor | 1.000 | | | | | | | | Middle | 0.027 | 0.010 | 0.009 | −0.2 | −0.099 | 0.601 | 0.869 | 0.7 | Rich | 0.001 | 0.018 | 0.956 | 0.0 | −1.974 | 0.944 | 0.036 | 13.4 |
| Sex of household head | Male | 1.000 | | | | | | | | Female | −0.056 | 0.027 | 0.036 | 0.4 | −1.814 | 0.781 | 0.020 | 12.3 |
| Current working status | Not working | 1.000 | | | | 1.000 | | | | Working | −0.450 | 0.102 | 0.001 | 3.0 | 0.497 | 3.175 | 0.876 | −3.4 |
| Polygamy | No cowife | 1.000 | | | | 1.000 | | | | Has cowife | −0.188 | 0.030 | 0.001 | 1.3 | 1.577 | 0.580 | 0.007 | −10.7 | Single/not sure | −0.153 | 0.043 | 0.001 | 1.0 | 1.571 | 0.880 | 0.074 | −10.6 |
| Exposure to family planning messages | Not exposed | 1.000 | | | | 1.000 | | | | Exposed | −0.187 | 0.074 | 0.011 | 1.3 | −2.356 | 1.339 | 0.078 | 15.9 |
| Age at first sex | Below 15 | 1.000 | | | | 1.000 | | | | 15–19 | −1.268 | 0.178 | 0.001 | 8.6 | −2.893 | 1.648 | 0.079 | 19.6 | 20+ | 3.583 | 0.215 | 0.001 | −24.2 | −7.071 | 1.315 | 0.001 | 47.8 |
| Family size preferences | 0–2 | 1.000 | | | | 1.000 | | | | 3–4 | 0.339 | 0.152 | 0.026 | −2.3 | −2.323 | 2.715 | 0.392 | 15.7 | 5+ | −1.177 | 0.133 | 0.001 | 8.0 | −1.209 | 3.598 | 0.737 | 8.2 | Nonnumeric | −0.406 | 0.044 | 0.001 | 2.7 | 0.524 | 0.342 | 0.126 | −3.5 |
| Age at first marriage | Not yet married | 1.000 | | | | 1.000 | | | | Below 15 | −3.869 | 0.219 | 0.001 | 26.2 | −2.065 | 2.342 | 0.378 | 14.0 | 15–19 | −5.585 | 0.320 | 0.001 | 37.8 | −7.269 | 8.461 | 0.390 | 49.2 | 20+ | 6.112 | 0.339 | 0.001 | −41.3 | −0.591 | 2.270 | 0.795 | 4.0 |
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