Forest Fire Risk Assessment: An Illustrative Example from Ontario, Canada

Figure 19

Estimated density functions of log-transformed simulated and observed fire sizes under various scenarios. The historic fire size density is based on data from an area encompassing the study region (1980–2007). The other fire curves are based on Burn-P3 simulations, using the default setting with the corrected fuel map as well as a fuel map with 20% of the nonfuel randomly selected to be changed to mixed wood-type fuel. The Full weather curve is based on a simulation using all weather data but with the same spread event day distribution as before.