Research Article

On Volatility Swaps for Stock Market Forecast: Application Example CAC 40 French Index

Table 3


Models Adju SEE BIC RMSE MAE MAPE

ARCH(2) 0.989953 0.007369 −2.620676 0.013674 0.009786 3.612218
ARCH(4) 0.989971 0.007062 −2.801014 0.010689 0.007441 3.469134
GARCH(2,1) 0.992352 0.003072 −7.893673 0.002668 0.002835 2.946543
GARCH(1,1) 0.999122 0.002672 −8.993776 0.002668 0.001983 2.743416