Table 1: Some reports of mean square error for fitting and forecasting the series.

Time seriesModel
ARIMASVRHybrid

Deaths series9.43837.08820.7922
Injuries series28.035220.41610.9921
Incident series41.807731.76691.469

Note. ARIMA(2,1,3) for monthly number of deaths and injuries and ARIMA(0,1,1) for monthly number of incidents.