Forecasting Time Series Movement Direction with Hybrid Methodology

Table 1

Some reports of mean square error for fitting and forecasting the series.

Time series	Model
	ARIMA	SVR	Hybrid
Deaths series	9.4383	7.0882	0.7922
Injuries series	28.0352	20.4161	0.9921
Incident series	41.8077	31.7669	1.469

Note. ARIMA(2,1,3) for monthly number of deaths and injuries and ARIMA(0,1,1) for monthly number of incidents.