Research Article

A Bayesian Adaptive Design in Cancer Phase I Trials Using Dose Combinations in the Presence of a Baseline Covariate

Table 1

Operating characteristics summarizing trial safety for designs using a covariate (WC), ignoring the covariate (IC), and parallel trials (PT) considering continuous dose combinations, .

Scenario Design
Average % DLTs
(% Trials: DLT rate ; % Trials: DLT rate )
OverallZ = 0Z = 1

(a)WC30.42 (7.1; 0.5)21.68 (56.6; 0.0)39.17 (0.4; 31.5)
IC30.10 (8.6; 0.4)14.05 (86.7; 0.1)46.15 (0.0; 65.8)
PT-21.95 (56.6; 0.0)29.55 (10.9; 1.8)

(b)WC24.34 (45.4; 0.0)19.47 (73.8; 0.1)29.21 (13.4; 1.8)
IC25.72 (34.6; 0.0)19.07 (68.1; 0.4)32.37 (10.2; 11.7)
PT-16.87 (88.3; 0.0)19.04 (78.0; 0.0)

(c)WC24.15 (47.7; 0.0)13.98 (93.6; 0.0)34.32 (2.7; 11.0)
IC24.90 (41.6; 0.0)8.60 (97.3; 0.0)41.21 (0.8; 42.6)
PT-14.78 (96.5; 0.0)22.21 (55.2; 0.1)

(d)WC16.84 (98.0; 0.0)5.63 (100.0; 0.0)28.04 (15.4; 0.0)
IC21.55 (73.3; 0.0)2.89 (100.0; 0.0)40.22 (1.0; 36.8)
PT-6.43 (100.0; 0.0)14.54 (97.6; 0.0)

Scenario : (a) , (b) , (c) , and (d) .