Modeling of the COVID-19 Cases in Gulf Cooperation Council Countries Using ARIMA and MA-ARIMA Models

Table 10

Estimated parameters and their standard errors of the best models among the classical ARIMA and k^th MA-ARIMA fitting recovery cases in each country.

Country	Model	Coeff.	AR				MA
			KSA	3^rd WMA-ARIMA (2,1,2)	Value	1.158^3	−0.860^3	-	-	−1.100^3	0.667^3	-	-
s.e.	0.066	0.061			-	-	0.099	0.101	-	-
UAE	4^th SMA-ARIMA (0,1,4)	Value	-	-	-	-	0.480^3	0.436^3	0.401^3	−0.555^3
		s.e.	-	-	-	-	0.042	0.045	0.045	0.043
Kuwait	3^rd SMA-ARIMA (0,1,3)	Value	-	-	-	-	0.585^3	0.594^3	−0.408^3	-
		s.e.	-	-	-	-	0.048	0.049	0.048	-
Qatar	3^rd WMA-ARIMA (2,1,3)	Value	1.372^3	−0.666^3	-	-	−1.696^3	1.404^3	−0.464^3	-
		s.e.	0.085	0.072	-	-	0.089	0.092	0.062	-
Bahrain	3^rd SMA-ARIMA (1,1,4)	Value	0.678^3	-	-	-	−0.617^3	0.120^3	−0.891^3	0.721^3
		s.e.	0.096	-	-	-	0.075	0.029	0.032	0.057

Note.¹Significant at the 0.10 level. ²Significant at the 0.05 level. ³Significant at the 0.01 level.