Modeling of the COVID-19 Cases in Gulf Cooperation Council Countries Using ARIMA and MA-ARIMA Models

Table 12

Forecast values for daily COVID-19 confirmed cases from 01/02/2021 to 10/02/2021 based on the best models in each country.

Date	KSA	UAE	Kuwait	Qatar	Bahrain	Oman
	2^nd WMA-ARIMA (2,1,3)	Cubic model	4^th WMA-ARIMA (3,1,2)	4^th-degree polynomial model	5^th EWMA-ARIMA (4,1,1)	4^th WMA-ARIMA (2,1,2)
01/02/2021	246.95	3357.44	671.96	273.62	534.66	215.8
02/02/2021	248.79	3397.57	602.63	272.83	525.48	187.96
03/02/2021	248.07	3438.08	636.45	271.86	507.47	183.56
04/02/2021	253.21	3478.95	641.92	270.71	464.40	185.23
05/02/2021	250.57	3520.20	634.76	269.36	515.94	190.38
06/02/2021	248.43	3561.81	593.14	267.81	514.11	192.97
07/02/2021	249.49	3603.81	587.51	266.06	502.33	197.07
08/02/2021	251.47	3646.18	602.66	264.10	498.86	196.56
09/02/2021	250.52	3688.93	628.47	261.93	507.29	192.82
10/02/2021	249.18	3732.06	642.63	259.54	502.61	189.21