Modeling of the COVID-19 Cases in Gulf Cooperation Council Countries Using ARIMA and MA-ARIMA Models

Table 13

Forecast values for daily COVID-19 recovery cases from 01/02/2021 to 10/02/2021 based on the best models in each country.

Date	KSA	UAE	Kuwait	Qatar	Bahrain	Oman
	3^rd WMA-ARIMA (2,12)	4^th SMA-ARIMA (0,1,4)	3^rd SMA-ARIMA (0,1,3)	3^rd WMA-ARIMA (2,1,3)	3^rd SMA-ARIMA (1,1,4)	Cubic model
01/02/2021	351.91	3317.68	491.36	152.830	346.592	65.15
02/02/2021	272.13	4094.39	551.09	140.028	379.160	62.06
03/02/2021	329.85	4078.74	522.05	143.130	160.477	59.00
04/02/2021	309.31	2837.44	491.36	141.267	363.283	55.97
05/02/2021	339.86	3317.68	551.09	146.406	390.471	52.96
06/02/2021	323.51	4094.39	522.05	148.192	168.142	49.98
07/02/2021	324.48	4078.74	491.36	151.558	368.477	47.04
08/02/2021	308.86	2837.44	551.09	152.097	393.992	132.66
09/02/2021	310.53	3317.68	522.05	152.523	170.528	183.17
10/02/2021	312.23	4094.39	491.36	151.464	370.094	113.15