Modeling of the COVID-19 Cases in Gulf Cooperation Council Countries Using ARIMA and MA-ARIMA Models

Table 14

Forecast values for daily COVID-19 death cases from 01/02/2021 to 10/02/2021 based on the best models in each country.

Date	KSA	UAE	Kuwait	Qatar	Bahrain	Oman
	2^nd SMA-ARIMA (3,1,1)	3^rd SMA-ARIMA (0,1,3)	4^th WMA-ARIMA (2,1,3)	3^rd WMA-ARIMA (0,1,3)	3^rd SMA-ARIMA (0,1,3)	3^rd SMA-ARIMA (0,1,3)
01/02/2021	3.23	16.84	0.485	0.011	2.543	0.347
02/02/2021	3.62	5.35	1.029	0.063	1.601	2.759
03/02/2021	3.31	6.59	0.927	0.049	1.009	0.272
04/02/2021	3.59	16.84	0.749	0.034	2.543	0.347
05/02/2021	3.34	5.35	0.584	0.048	1.601	2.759
06/02/2021	3.56	6.59	0.617	0.044	1.009	0.272
07/02/2021	3.36	16.84	0.644	0.042	2.543	0.347
08/02/2021	3.55	5.35	0.709	0.045	1.601	2.759
09/02/2021	3.37	6.59	0.759	0.043	1.009	0.272
10/02/2021	3.54	16.84	0.773	0.043	2.543	0.347