Research Article

Effects on Local Temperature and Energy of Oasis City Expansion in Arid Area of Northwest China

Table 3

The Pearson correlation coefficient (), index of agreement (), mean bias error (Bias), and root mean square error (RMSE) between the simulated and observed for winter (DJF), spring (MAM), summer (JJA), and fall (SON) in 1978, 1993, and 2004.

YearBias (°C)RMSE (°C)S/U

1978Spring0.950.97-0.5622.4621%
Summer0.670.82-0.0462.2732%
Autumn0.980.990.22861.8423%
Winter0.960.970.72461.9425%

1993Spring0.920.95-1.16523.1424%
Summer0.860.90-0.84381.829%
Autumn0.950.970.31993.2521%
Winter0.660.742.2165.0426%

2004Spring0.980.98-1.6082.3831%
Summer0.910.94-0.9031.9828%
Autumn0.970.97-0.08112.7511%
Winter0.920.951.20732.9825%

S/U means proportions of systematic and unsystematic errors.