Microspatial Distributional Patterns of Vectors of Cutaneous Leishmaniasis in Pernambuco, Northeastern Brazil

Table 2

Areas predicted as suitable for Lutzomyia whitmani by ecological niche model based on NDVI variables for combination of the east, west, and center regions of Amarají, Pernambuco, Brazil.

	Regions	Ratio AUC*	Variables associated	Partial ROC; N° ratio ≤ 1 out of 1000	𝑍 statistics (𝑃)
L. whitmani	East and Center; predict West	1.06	NDVI October	0	<0.0001
	West and Center; predict East	1.12	NDVI April	0	<0.0001
	West and East; predict Center	1.10	NDVI October	0	0.03
	Whole region of Amarají		NDVI March		—

*Area under the ROC curve, expressed as a ratio of observed AUC to the area under the curve of random expectations.