Mathematical Problems in Engineering / 2010 / Article / Tab 5

Research Article

Forecasting of Sporadic Demand Patterns with Seasonality and Trend Components: An Empirical Comparison between Holt-Winters and (S)ARIMA Methods

Table 5

Comparison between (S)ARIMA and HW based on ME/A.

SeriesGroup ME/A 5 time periods ahead ME/A 12 time periods ahead
(S)ARIMAHW(S)ARIMAHW

s112.9%1.0%-1.7%0.4%
s2-4.4%1.8%- 5.0%-6.3%
s32.2%-6.6%6.7%18.7%
s40.8%0.4%1.3%9.5%
s5-1.7%- 1.4%- 3.5%-5.1%
s6- 0.2%-1.8%- 2.2%-2.3%
s7-1.1%- 0.2%5.1%5.2%

s821.0%0.6%- 32.0%-32.8%
s90.0%33.3%- 25.0%64.3%
s100.8%-13.0%4.7%-5.1%
s11-0.9%0.2%- 1.4%24.6%
s12-7.9%- 0.4%- 4.5%21.7%

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