Research Article
The Forecasting Procedure for Long-Term Wind Speed in the Zhangye Area
Table 4
The errors of ARMA model and ES-ARMA model.
| | ARMA model | | ES-ARMA model | | MAE | MRE | | MAE | MRE |
| Spring | 0.527913 | 34.6678% | Spring | 0.488744 | 31.3714% | Summer | 0.669174 | 25.4236% | Summer | 0.616475 | 27.4234% | Autumn | 0.562325 | 27.9945% | Autumn | 0.51789 | 27.4116% | Winter | 0.515766 | 40.4048% | Winter | 0.342647 | 25.6505% |
| Total error | 0.569286 | 32.086% | Total error | 0.485655 | 27.4126% |
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