System Identification and Prediction of Dengue Fever Incidence in Rio de Janeiro

Table 1

Performances of the models in the identification process (by using the historical series of 2007).

Rank	Neighborhood	𝑟	𝑛	SIS or SIR	Average error
1	Square	2	500	SIS	312
2	Cross	2	500	SIS	315
3	Square	1	500	SIS	340
4	Cross	2	1000	SIS	467
5	Cross	1	500	SIS	522
6	Cross	2	500	SIR	556
7	Square	2	1000	SIR	648
8	Square	2	500	SIR	648
9	Square	2	1000	SIS	657
10	Square	1	1000	SIS	888
11	Cross	2	2420	SIS	953
12	Square	2	2420	SIR	999
13	Square	1	500	SIR	1292
14	Cross	1	500	SIR	1396
15	Cross	2	1000	SIR	1630
16	Cross	1	2420	SIS	1682
17	Cross	2	2420	SIR	1972
18	Square	1	1000	SIR	1977
19	Cross	1	1000	SIR	2137
20	Square	1	2420	SIR	2198
21	Square	2	2420	SIS	2442
22	Square	1	2420	SIS	2648
23	Cross	1	1000	SIS	3472
24	Cross	1	2420	SIR	5148